Öz
Türkiye’de, özellikle 2000’li yıllardan itibaren
inşaat sektörü ekonomiyi canlandırmak ve ev sahipliğini arttırmak amacıyla kamu
politikalarıyla doğrudan desteklenmiştir. Bu amaca ulaşmak için kentler benzeri
görülmemiş inşaat sahalarına dönüşmüş, imara yeni açılan alanlar aracılığıyla
yeni konut üretimi gerçekleştirilirken, eskiyen kent dokuları yıkım ve yeniden
yapım süreçlerine tanık olmuşlardır. Ekonomik büyüme inşaat sektörü eksenli
olunca sonsuza kadar devam eder anlayışı güdülmüş, kamu ve özel sektör
yatırımlarında inşaat yatırımları büyük paylar almaya başlamıştır. 2007 ve 2009
yılları arasında etkisini hissettiren Küresel Finansal Krizle beraber pek çok
ülke inşaata dayalı ekonomik büyümeye mesafeli yaklaşmaya başlamış ve sektörün
olası olumsuz etkilerini azaltmak için çeşitli tedbirler almıştır. Ancak
Türkiye’deki genel eğilim bu yönde olmamakla beraber özellikle imara açılan
yeni alanlar ve kentsel dönüşüm alanlarında inşaat faaliyetlerinin devam
ettirilmesi sağlanmıştır. İnşaatın öncü olduğu bir büyüme modelinde sektörü
kırılma noktasına getirebilecek tehlikeli sinyaller görmezden gelinmiştir. Bu
çalışmada temelde, sektörün güçlü yönü kabul edilen sözde dayanıklılığını kırması
olası değişkenleri saptamayı hedeflemektedir. Çalışmada 2005-2018 yılları
arasında üretilen Türkiye İstatistik Kurumu (TÜİK) İnşaat Sektörü Eğilim
İstatistikleri, İnşaat ve Konut İstatistikleri, Türkiye Odalar ve Borsalar
Birliği (TOBB) Kurulan ve Kapatılan Şirket İstatistikleri, T.C. Merkez Bankası
Konut ve İnşaat İstatistikleri kullanılacaktır.
Anahtar Kelimeler
İnşaat sektörü Sektörel göstergeler Konut Dayanıklılık Kırılganlık
Kaynakça
- Adger, W.N. (2000). Social and Ecological Resilience: Are They Related? Progress in Human Geography 24, 347-364.
- Alberti, M. ve diğerleri. (2003). Integrating humans into ecosystems: Opportunities and challenges for urban ecology, BioScience, 53, 1169–1179.
- Aveline, N. ve Li, L.H. (Ed.) (2004). Property markets and land policies in north-east Asia, the case of five cities: Tokyo, Seoul, Shanghai, Taipei and Hong Kong. Maison Franco-Japonaise and Centre of real estate and urban economics HKU.
- Balaban, O. (2011). İnşaat Sektörü Neyin Lokomotifi? Birikim, 270, 19-26.
- Callister, W. D. (2000). Materials science and engineering (5th ed.) New York: Wiley.
- Christopherson ve diğerleri. (2010). Regional resilience: Theoretical and empirical perspectives, Cambridge Journal of Regions Economy and Society, 3, (1), 3-10.
- Downing, T. E. ve diğerleri. (2005). Integrating social vulnerability into water management. SEI Working Paper and Newater Working Paper No. 4.Stockholm Environment Institute, Oxford, UK
- Ionescu, C. ve diğerleri. (2009). Towards a formal framework of vulnerability to climate change, Environmental Modeling and Assessment, 14, (1), 1‐16.
- Fellows, R. F. (2006). Escalation management: Forecasting the effects of inflation on building projects, Construction Management and Economics, 9, (2), 187-204.
- Godschalk, D. R. (2003). Urban hazard mitigation: Creating resilient cities, Natural Hazards Review, 4, (3), 136-143.
- Hermansen, M. ve Röhn, O. (2015). Economic resilience: The usefulness of early warning indicators in OECD countries, Economic Department Working Papers No.1250.
- Lo Duca, M. ve T. Peltonen (2013). Assessing Systemic Risks and Predicting Systemic Events, Journal of Banking and Finance, 37, (7), 2183-2195.
- Özdemir Sarı, Ö.B. ve Aksoy Khurami, E. (2018). Housing affordability trends and challenges in the Turkish case, Journal of Housing and the Built Environment (online first) https://doi.org/10.1007/s10901-018-9617-2.
- Özdemir Sarı, Ö.B. (2019) Redefining the Housing Challenges in Turkey: An Urban Planning Perspective. In: Ö. Burcu Özdemir Sarı, Suna Senem Özdemir, Nil Uzun (Eds.), Urban and Regional Planning in Turkey (p. 167-184) The Urban Book Series, Switzerland: Springer.
- Rose, A. ve M. Spiegel (2011), “Cross-country Causes and Consequences of the Crisis: An Update”, Special Issue: Advances in International Macroeconomics: Lessons from the Crisis, European Economic Review, 55, (3), 309-324.
- Röhn, O. ve diğerleri. (2015). Economic resilience: A new set of vulnerability indicators for OECD countries, Economics Department Working Papers No.1249.
- T.C. Merkez Bankası, Konut ve İnşaat İstatistikleri (2013-2018).
- TOBB. Kurulan/Kapanan Şirket İstatistikleri (2010-2018).
- TÜİK. (2011-2019). İş Yeri Eğilim İstatistikleri.
- TÜİK. (2005-2016). Hane Halkı Bütçe Anketi, Mikro Veri Seti.
Öz
The construction sector in Turkey is directly supported
through public policies in order to increase the share of owner-occupier
households and to stimulate economic growth. In order to achieve these goals,
new housing production has been realized with new development areas, while the
old urban textures have witnessed demolition and rebuilding processes. Cities
have transformed into unprecedented construction sites. The understanding of
the unlimited economic growth with construction sector lasts forever that has
shaped the construction investments in the public and private sector. With the
impacts of the Global Financial Crisis between 2007 and 2009, many countries
have begun to approach construction sector inquisitively and took various
measures to reduce the potential adverse effects of the sector. As if there is
no general tendency in other countries, in Turkey the continuation of
construction activities has supported. In a growth model that the construction
sector is a pioneer in, the ignorance of dangerous signals could bring the
sector to the breaking point. This study aims to identify variables that are
likely to break the so-called resilience, which is accepted as the most
substantial aspect of the sector. In this study, Data produced by Turkish
Statistical Institute (TURKSTAT) which are Construction Sector Tendency
Statistics, Construction and Housing Statistics, also, by The Union of Chambers
and Commodity Exchanges of Turkey (TOBB) Established and Closed Company
Statistics, Central Bank Housing and Construction Statistics will be employed.
Anahtar Kelimeler
Construction sector Housing Sectoral indicators Crisis Vulnerability
Kaynakça
- Adger, W.N. (2000). Social and Ecological Resilience: Are They Related? Progress in Human Geography 24, 347-364.
- Alberti, M. ve diğerleri. (2003). Integrating humans into ecosystems: Opportunities and challenges for urban ecology, BioScience, 53, 1169–1179.
- Aveline, N. ve Li, L.H. (Ed.) (2004). Property markets and land policies in north-east Asia, the case of five cities: Tokyo, Seoul, Shanghai, Taipei and Hong Kong. Maison Franco-Japonaise and Centre of real estate and urban economics HKU.
- Balaban, O. (2011). İnşaat Sektörü Neyin Lokomotifi? Birikim, 270, 19-26.
- Callister, W. D. (2000). Materials science and engineering (5th ed.) New York: Wiley.
- Christopherson ve diğerleri. (2010). Regional resilience: Theoretical and empirical perspectives, Cambridge Journal of Regions Economy and Society, 3, (1), 3-10.
- Downing, T. E. ve diğerleri. (2005). Integrating social vulnerability into water management. SEI Working Paper and Newater Working Paper No. 4.Stockholm Environment Institute, Oxford, UK
- Ionescu, C. ve diğerleri. (2009). Towards a formal framework of vulnerability to climate change, Environmental Modeling and Assessment, 14, (1), 1‐16.
- Fellows, R. F. (2006). Escalation management: Forecasting the effects of inflation on building projects, Construction Management and Economics, 9, (2), 187-204.
- Godschalk, D. R. (2003). Urban hazard mitigation: Creating resilient cities, Natural Hazards Review, 4, (3), 136-143.
- Hermansen, M. ve Röhn, O. (2015). Economic resilience: The usefulness of early warning indicators in OECD countries, Economic Department Working Papers No.1250.
- Lo Duca, M. ve T. Peltonen (2013). Assessing Systemic Risks and Predicting Systemic Events, Journal of Banking and Finance, 37, (7), 2183-2195.
- Özdemir Sarı, Ö.B. ve Aksoy Khurami, E. (2018). Housing affordability trends and challenges in the Turkish case, Journal of Housing and the Built Environment (online first) https://doi.org/10.1007/s10901-018-9617-2.
- Özdemir Sarı, Ö.B. (2019) Redefining the Housing Challenges in Turkey: An Urban Planning Perspective. In: Ö. Burcu Özdemir Sarı, Suna Senem Özdemir, Nil Uzun (Eds.), Urban and Regional Planning in Turkey (p. 167-184) The Urban Book Series, Switzerland: Springer.
- Rose, A. ve M. Spiegel (2011), “Cross-country Causes and Consequences of the Crisis: An Update”, Special Issue: Advances in International Macroeconomics: Lessons from the Crisis, European Economic Review, 55, (3), 309-324.
- Röhn, O. ve diğerleri. (2015). Economic resilience: A new set of vulnerability indicators for OECD countries, Economics Department Working Papers No.1249.
- T.C. Merkez Bankası, Konut ve İnşaat İstatistikleri (2013-2018).
- TOBB. Kurulan/Kapanan Şirket İstatistikleri (2010-2018).
- TÜİK. (2011-2019). İş Yeri Eğilim İstatistikleri.
- TÜİK. (2005-2016). Hane Halkı Bütçe Anketi, Mikro Veri Seti.
Ayrıntılar
| Birincil Dil | Türkçe |
|---|---|
| Bölüm | Makaleler |
| Yazarlar | |
| Yayımlanma Tarihi | 31 Aralık 2019 |
| Kabul Tarihi | 19 Aralık 2019 |
| Yayımlandığı Sayı | Yıl 2019 Cilt: 3 Sayı: 2 |
